Unfortunately , this attention focuses on deterministic predictions on the day - to - week timescale 遺憾的是,這種觀注集中于‘天到周’時(shí)間標(biāo)度的確定性預(yù)測(cè)。
“ for real progress we need a methodical approach and a better strategy for testing hypotheses . we have good reason to expect wonderful discoveries , but not deterministic prediction “對(duì)于真正的進(jìn)展來講,我們需要對(duì)假說進(jìn)行試驗(yàn)的一種系統(tǒng)的途經(jīng)和更好的戰(zhàn)略。我們有很好的理由來期望令人驚訝的發(fā)現(xiàn),但不能期望‘確定性預(yù)測(cè)’ 。 ”
“ on the other hand , all of the contributors to this debate who expressed an opinion agree that the deterministic prediction of an individual earthquake , within sufficiently narrow limits to allow a planned evacuation programme , is an unrealistic goal “另一方面,向這場(chǎng)辯論提交論文表示了看法的所有研究者,都同意對(duì)一次地震做出‘確定性預(yù)測(cè)’ ,其有效限度窄到允許實(shí)施計(jì)劃中的撤離計(jì)劃,是一種不現(xiàn)實(shí)的目標(biāo)。 ”